Components of Change in Population of Regions 2000-2005
Following are tables showing components of population change between 2000 and 2005 among four different sets of regions: the eight University of Missouri Extension Regions, the 13 Department of Economic Development Regions, the 10 Missouri Department of Transportation Districts and the 19 Regional Planning Commission/Council of Government Regions.
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OSEDA Regional Grouping of Counties Many demographic factors vary by region within the state of Missouri. For the convenience of our user community, OSEDA prepares tables using three different regional groupings of counties: Extension, Economic Development and Transportation. For each of these groupings, one table summarizes the indicators by regional total and a second table shows values for each county grouped by region. Users may select the county grouping most helpful for their application and understanding. |
Components of 2000-2005 Population Change By UM Extension Regions
Table 1 shows wide variation among the eight MU Extension Regions in the relative contribution of natural increase/decrease and migration to the amount of population change from 2000-2005.
- Of the eight Extension Regions the two with the largest population are East Central (St. Louis) and West Central (Kansas City). It is significant that in the East Central Region 47,344 of the 71,555 population increase (66 percent) from 2000-2005 was the result of natural increase. That leaves only 24,211 of the increase occurring as a result of net in-migration. Much the same pattern occurred in the West Central Region in which 38,381 (75 percent) of the 50,997 population increase from 2000-2005 was the result of more births than deaths. It is significant that 74 percent of the total natural increase (115,403) in Missouri population from 2000-2005 occurred in the East Central and West Central Regions. That is more significant since the East and West Central Regions only account for 59 percent of Missouri’s total population in 2005
- In comparison it is also significant that 68 percent of Missouri’s 88,224 in-migration from 2000-2005 occurred in only two of the eight extension regions – 36,320 in the Southwest Region that includes Springfield, Branson and Joplin and 24,211 in the East Central Region.
- Three Extension Regions (Northeast, Northwest and Southeast) had a net out-migration from 2000-2005 and each had quite small natural increase.
Components of 2000-2005 Population Change by Department of Economic Development (DED) Regions
Table 2 shows that 100,511 of Missouri’s 115,403 natural increase in population (87 percent) from 2000-2005 occurred in only four of the 13 DED Regions. That is not especially surprising since those four regions, St. Louis MSA, Kansas City MSA, Springfield-Branson and Central have, in order, the largest population of the 13 DED regions.
However, Table 2 also shows that six of the 13 DED Regions had a combined in-migration of 84,342 from 2000-2005 - 96 percent of Missouri’s 88,224 net in-migration. Among those six regions the greatest in-migration was in the Springfield-Branson Region with 27,033 (31 percent of state total) followed by the St. Louis MSA with 17,862 (20 percent of total), Kansas City MSA with 12,545 (14 percent of state total), Lake Ozark-Rolla with 10,245 (12 percent of state total), Southwest Region with 8,518 (10 percent of total0 and Lower East Central-Cape with 8,139 (9 percent of state total).
Some additional observations about components of population change among the DED regions include:
- Table 2 shows that four of the 13 DED Regions (Bootheel, North Central, Northeast and Northwest) each had a net out-migration from 2000-2005. This is not surprising because they are the four regions in which agriculture accounts for the largest proportion of land use. In the North Central Region seven of the eight counties had a net out-migration from 2000-2005.
- Although the St. Louis MSA had the greatest natural increase (46,599) among the 13 DED regions the region had a relatively small in-migration (17,862) from 2000-2005 even though in-migration to St. Charles County alone was 32,664. That occurs because both St. Louis County and St. Louis City had high rates of out-migration to other counties within the St. Louis MSA. That pattern has been occurring for at least the past two to three decades.
Components of 2000-2005 Population Change among Missouri Department of Transportation Districts (MODOT)
Table 3 shows that 83,133 of Missouri’s 115,403 net natural population increase (72 percent) from 2000-2005 occurred in only two of the MODOT Districts. The size of that increase is not surprising because those two districts, St. Louis and Kansas City, are Missouri’s two most heavily populated (55 percent of state total). However, in the St. Louis District the natural increase of 44,684, was only 7,000 less than the District’s total 2000-2005 population increase of 51,439.
This affect occurred because the MODOT St. Louis District includes only five counties, two of which, St. Louis County and St. Louis City, had a net out-migration of 38,336 from 2000 to 2005. As the data in Table 4 show, there were 45,091 people who migrated into St. Charles, Jefferson and Franklin counties between 2000 and 2005.
Other persons relocating from St. Louis City and County apparently relocated to counties further from the core of St Louis such as Lincoln and Warren Counties that are in the MODOT Hannibal District. The presence of those counties in the Hannibal District is a major reason why, as indicated in Table 4, the Hannibal District had the 4th largest in-migration of the 10 MODOT Districts between 2000-2005.
Some additional observations about components of population change among the MODOT Districts from 2000-2005 include:
- All but one of the 10 Districts (North Central/Macon was the exception) had a natural increase in population from 2000-2005. Other than the St. Louis and Kansas City Districts, which had natural increases of 2.2 and 3.3 percent respectively, the other districts with the greatest natural increase were, in order, the Central and Southwest Districts which had natural increases of 1.8 percent and 1.6 percent respectively
- The MODOT Districts with the greatest in-migration of population from 2000-2005 were the Springfield District with an increase of 29,802, the Kansas City District with a net increase of 12,153, the Central District with a net increase of 11,343, the Hannibal District with a net increase of 10,410. Those Districts together had a net in-migration of 63,708 which was 72 percent of Missouri’s total in-migration from 2000-2005.
- There were two of the 10 MODOT Districts that had a net out-migration of population from 2000-2005. The largest number was in the North Central/Macon District with –2,554 and the Northwest District with a net out-migration of –1,542. In the Macon District nine of the 14 District counties and in the St. Joseph District eight of the 12 counties had a net out-migration.
Components of 2000-2005 Population Change by Missouri Regional Planning Commission Areas
Table 5 shows that 81,154 of Missouri’s 115,403 net natural population increase (70 percent) from 2000-2005 occurred in only two of the 19 Regional Planning Commission Areas. That increase is not surprising because those two RPCs, East-West Gateway Coordinating Council (St. Louis) and the Mid-America Regional Planning Commission (Kansas City), are Missouri’s two most heavily populated. However in the East-West Gateway Coordinating Council Area the natural increase of 44,684 was about 6,700 greater than the District’s total 2000-2005 population increase of 51,439. That was because the East-West Gateway Coordinating Council Area includes St. Louis City as well as St. Louis, Jefferson, St. Charles and Franklin Counties.
In the East-West Gateway Area between 2000 and 2005 St. Louis County had a net out-migration of -26,708 and St. Louis City had a net out-migration of -11,628 for a combined total of –38,336 in those five years as shown in Table 6. However, many of those who moved from St. Louis City and County between 2000-2005 relocated to one of the other three counties in the Coordinating Council Area. Included was a net in-migration of 32,664 to St. Charles County, 9,292 to Jefferson County and 3,135 to Franklin County for a total of 45,091 who relocated to other adjoining Council counties.
The Mid-America RPC (which includes Cass, Clay, Jackson, Platte and Ray Counties) had a population increase of 47,348 from 2000-2005. However, the components of population change were somewhat different in the Mid-America RPC than in the East-West Coordinating Council Area. In the Mid-America RPC there was a natural increase of 36,470. However, like St. Louis County, Jackson County had a net out-migration of -15,273 from 2000-2005. Many of those leaving Jackson County most likely moved to one of the other four counties comprising the Mid-America RPC. Together Cass, Clay, Platte and Ray had a net in-migration of 26,151, but after subtracting the out-migration from Jackson County left the Mid-America RPC with a net in-migration of 10,878 producing the 47,348 increase in the total population of the Area from 2000-2005.
Additional observations about components of population change among the Regional Planning Commission Areas from 2000-2005 include some of the following:
- • Aside from the East-West Coordinating Council and the Mid-America RPC which had the greatest rates of natural increases in population from 2000-2005, there were several additional RPC Areas that had significant rates of natural increase. Aside from the Mid-America RPC with a natural increase of 3.6 percent there were three RPCs that each had a natural increase of 2.5 or greater – the three in order were the Mid-Missouri RPC (Boone, Callaway, Cole, Cooper, Howard and Moniteau Counties) with an increase of 2.8 percent, the Harry S Truman Coordinating Council (Barton, Jasper, McDonald and Newton Counties) with an increase of 2.7 percent and the Boonslick RPC (Lincoln, Montgomery and Warren Counties) with an increase of 2.5 percent. There were four RPC areas that had a natural decrease in population from 2000-2005 and two additional areas that had no increase. As shown in Table 6 the RPC areas with more deaths than births included the Green Hills RPC (11 counties in the north central area), the Kaysinger Basin RPC (Bates, Benton, Cedar, Henry, Hickory, St. Clair and Vernon Counties), the NWMO Regional Council of Governments (Atchison, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway and Worth Counties), the South Central Ozarks Council of Governments (Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Shannon, Texas and Wright Counties) and the Ozark Foothills RPC (Butler, Carter, Reynolds, Ripley, and Wayne Counties).
In general the rate of in-migration into all parts of Missouri has slowed since the middle 1990s. Beginning from 1998 the rate of in-migration leveled off and has remained about the same for the past eight years. Following are some observations about the extent of net in-migration into each of the 19 RPC areas from 2000-2003. As shown in Table 5:
- There were six RPCs that had a net in-migration of more than 6,000 from 2000-2005. The greatest in-migration occurred in the Southwest Missouri Council of Governments Region with a net in-migration of 29,743, followed by the Boonslick RPC with a net in-migration of 11,126, the Mid-America RPC with a net in-migration of 10,878, and the SEMO Regional Planning Commission with a net in-migration of 7,971. Together those four RPCs had a net in-migration of 59,718 that is 67 percent of the 88,224 net in-migration in Missouri from 2000-2005.
- There were six RPC’s that had a net out-migration from 2000-2005. The largest net out-migration was the Bootheel RPC with an out-migration of 3,085, followed by the Northeast Missouri RPC with an out-migration of 1,195 and the Green Hills RPC with an out-migration of 1,011.
| Detailed Tables of Components of Population Change | ||
The following links provide detailed tables of Components in Population Change in Missouri, 2000-2005. They are available in both HTML and Adobe Acrobat(PDF) formats. All Missouri Counties |
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| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By County with State Totals | HTML | |
| Regional Tables | ||
| UO/E Regions | ||
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Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By UM Extension Region |
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| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By County Within UM Extension Region | HTML | |
| DED Regions | ||
| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By DED Region | HTML | |
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Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By County Within DED Region |
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| MoDOT Regions | ||
| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By DOT District | HTML | |
| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By County Within DOT District | HTML | |
| RPC Regions | ||
| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By RPC | HTML | |
| Missouri Population and Components of Change, 2000-2005 - By County Within RPC | HTML | |
This file last modified Thursday May 07, 2009, 16:03:55
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